Notes

How many indicators do you actually need?

Most indicators are the same price data rearranged. Why adding more reduces clarity instead of adding it, and what a clean chart is really for.

Nearly all of them are calculated from the same four numbers per candle, so stacking six on a chart does not give you six perspectives. It gives you one perspective, restated six times, with the disagreements between the restatements creating an illusion of debate. One or two, used for a specific job, is enough. Zero is a perfectly reasonable answer.

The reason this matters is not aesthetic. More indicators make you slower and less decisive, and they hand you the ability to justify any decision you were already inclined to make.

They are mostly the same information

Take the common ones. A moving average is an average of past closes. MACD is the difference between two moving averages. RSI is a ratio of recent gains to recent losses. Stochastics compare the close to the recent range. Bollinger Bands are a moving average with a volatility envelope.

Every one is a transformation of price and volume. Nothing in there is new information from outside the chart. When your MACD and your RSI agree, that is not two independent sources confirming each other, it is the same data reaching a similar conclusion twice. Treating it as confirmation is a category error, and it is the single most common way indicators mislead people.

What does adding more actually do?

It gives you permission. With six indicators, at least two will support any decision at any moment. You will find yourself scanning for the ones that agree with what you want. This is not a discipline failure, it is the predictable result of having a menu.

It slows you down. Six things to check means analysis takes long enough that you start skipping it, especially on a Tuesday evening after work.

It creates false precision. A chart covered in lines looks rigorous. Complexity resembles sophistication and is usually the opposite.

It hides price. The thing you are trading is price. Indicators are derived from it and lag it. When half the screen is panels, you spend your attention on the derivatives instead of the source.

Why the search is so appealing

The honest reason people accumulate indicators is that they are looking for certainty, and indicators promise it. A new one holds out the possibility of a chart that tells you clearly what to do.

That chart does not exist. Every entry is taken under uncertainty, and no combination of oscillators removes it. What the search actually achieves is postponing the harder work: defining rules precisely, sizing correctly, and executing when it is uncomfortable. Those are the things that determine results, and none of them are indicator problems.

If you want the one measurement that reveals whether your trading works, it is expectancy, not any indicator on the chart. See expectancy.

What jobs can an indicator legitimately do?

Answer a question price does not answer directly at a glance. Average True Range gives you a number for normal volatility, which is genuinely useful when sizing a stop, and which is tedious to eyeball. See where to place a stop loss.

Enforce objectivity. A moving average as a trend filter removes an argument you would otherwise have with yourself. Not because it is clever, but because it is not negotiable. See moving averages.

Both are narrow, mechanical jobs. Neither involves prediction. If you cannot state in one sentence what question an indicator answers and what you would do differently based on its answer, it is not earning its place.

The test

For every indicator on your chart, answer these:

  1. What question does it answer?
  2. What would I do differently if it said the opposite?
  3. Is it telling me anything the price chart is not already telling me?
  4. Would removing it change any trade I took last month?

Most indicators fail question two. If a reading would not change your action, it is not informing a decision, it is providing reassurance. Reassurance is not free: it makes you more confident without making you more correct, and confidence without accuracy is precisely how position sizes get raised.

What a clean chart is for

I run price, one trend filter, and volume. That is it. No oscillators, no bands, no panels.

The point is not minimalism as a style. It is that the decisions I need to make are all answerable from price and levels: is this a trend, is there a level here, did price reject it, where does the stop go, what is the ratio to the next level. Adding an oscillator to that sequence would not change a single answer.

There is also a self-knowledge argument. I know from my own journal that I look for reasons to take trades when I have not traded in a while. A chart with six indicators would supply those reasons. A chart with almost nothing on it does not. Removing the temptation is more reliable than resisting it, which is the same reasoning behind the deliberately dull setup in what I actually use.

If you want to simplify

Do it in one step rather than gradually. Take everything off, trade for a month on price alone, and see what you genuinely miss. Almost everyone finds the answer is nothing, or one thing. Add back only what you missed, and only if you can pass the four-question test above.

The month feels risky and is not. Nobody has ever lost money because they could not see their stochastic. Plenty have lost money because six indicators gave them a reason to take a trade that had no business being taken.

Key takeaways

  • Nearly every indicator is a transformation of the same price data, so six of them are one perspective restated six times.
  • When two indicators agree, that is not independent confirmation. It is the same data reaching a similar conclusion twice.
  • More indicators give you permission to justify any decision you already wanted to make.
  • An indicator earns its place only if you can say what question it answers and what you would do differently if it said the opposite.
  • Strip the chart, trade a month on price alone, and add back only what you genuinely missed.

The full setup, and what each element is for, is in The 9-to-5 Trader.

Educational only, not financial advice. Trading carries a real risk of loss.

The whole method, in one place

These notes are pieces of the system in The 9-to-5 Trader. Start with the free tools, or read the book.